Decline depth
-22.7%
From rolling 252-day high of $33.49, 252d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
WatchRecovering
CCLCarnival Corporation Ltd.
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services · large-cap ($30.5B)
-22.7%
from rolling 252-day high of $33.49 set 2026-02-06 · 252d ago
Current
$25.90
Decline depth
-22.7%
Decline σ
1.2σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Where it stands
On the Watch.
Down 22.7% from its rolling 252-day high, 252 days after the high.
Snapshot . Price structure, not a judgment about the business.
A bullish structural signal is also active. The Recovering badge coexists with the decline tier; it does not establish a completed recovery.
What changed
Since the previous observation.
Tier and recovery signal are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing with . This compares classification, not price returns.
See the recorded timeline →Why it is flagged
CCL qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.
Down 22.7% from its rolling 252-day high, 252 days after the high. The most severe triggered rule determines the tier.
Inspect the three classification measures
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
1.2σ
Drop over the last 5 bars in units of daily volatility (3.49%/day).
Price history
The price path behind the snapshot.
Daily prices with the rolling-high reference. When a recorded classification event falls on a displayed trading date, it is marked on the chart.
Rolling 252-day high
Gold dots: recorded classification events (see timeline)
Up day
Down day
90 daily bars from Alpaca · through
The recorded history
A timeline of observations.
First observed 2026-05-15. These are scan observations, not exact transition times or the start of a decline. Missing scan dates are not filled in.
- Amber List; recovery signal active → Watch; recovery signal active
- Red List; recovery signal active → Amber List; recovery signal active
- Red List → Red List; recovery signal active
- Amber List → Red List
- Watch → Amber List
- Amber List → Watch
- Red List → Amber List
- Amber List → Red List
- Watch → Amber List
- Watch; recovery signal active → Watch
- Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
- First observed: Watch
Absence from a captured list does not establish recovery. Historical tiers reflect the rules and data recorded at that time.
Around the worst days
What the news said when CCL fell hardest.
News published within a day of its largest one-day drops points to a move with its sector or the wider market.
- -7.9%
- -7.6%
- -6.3%
A language model's reading of 6 headlines, taken . It classifies the news on those days; it does not explain the whole decline and is not a tier input. How this is produced.
Technical interpretation and signal details
The structural read
What price action says about CCL.
CCL qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -22.7% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.
A confirmed bullish signal on one or more time frames earned the Recovering badge. The tier reflects the most severe price-structure rule; Recovering identifies a separate bullish signal. Not a buy signal.
Whether CCL's turn is investable is ConvictionEdge's question, not ours.
Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 3 (red), weekly 2U (red), monthly 2U (green).
Earnings on file: 2026-09-29. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.
Questions about CCL
What people ask.
Why is CCL on Broken Stocks?
CCL qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -22.7% from its rolling 252-day high of $33.49, set on 2026-02-06 — 252d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for CCL?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — CCL is still Watch because a price-structure rule still triggers, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier reflects the most severe triggered rule; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is CCL a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. CCL is down -22.7% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is CCL a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is CCL trading inside its 52-week range?
At $25.90, CCL sits 33.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($21.81) to its 52-week high ($34.03). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has CCL been declining?
The current 22.7% decline accrued over 252d, which annualizes to roughly -32.9% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does CCL compare to its sector?
There are 411 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 290 Red, 86 Amber, 35 Watch, with 242 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.6% — CCL's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does CCL's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering uses decline depth and recency, bearish time-frame structure, and decline sigma. The earnings date on file (2026-09-29) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.