Decline depth
-37.5%
From rolling 252-day high of $35.76, 222d ago.
Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Amber List
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
-37.5%
from rolling 252-day high of $35.76 set 2025-10-06 · 222d ago
Current
$22.36
Decline depth
-37.5%
Decline σ
2.1σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Structural break signals
HODL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
2.1σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.05% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about HODL.
HODL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -37.5% from its rolling 252-day high.
52-week range
52W low $17.61
26.2% of range
52W high $35.76
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to HODL
Questions about HODL
What people ask.
Why is HODL on Broken Stocks?
HODL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -37.5% from its rolling 252-day high of $35.76, set on 2025-10-06 — 222d ago.
Is HODL a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. HODL is down -37.5% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 222d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. HODL is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is HODL a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is HODL trading inside its 52-week range?
At $22.36, HODL sits 26.2% of the way from its 52-week low ($17.61) to its 52-week high ($35.76). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has HODL been declining?
The current 37.5% decline accrued over 222d, which annualizes to roughly -61.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.