Red List
EL
Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (T
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products · large-cap ($25.0B)
-33.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $121.26 set 2026-02-03 · 100d ago
Current
$80.83
Decline depth
-33.3%
Decline σ
3.6σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

EL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-33.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $121.26, 100d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
3.6σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.32% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about EL.

EL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -33.3% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-01. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $48.37 44.3% of range 52W high $121.64

Sector context · Consumer Defensive

47 other Consumer Defensive tickers are on Broken Stocks.

27 Red List
13 Amber
7 Watch
-36.4% Median decline

Worst in sector: SKIL (-71.7%). Least-bad: BJ (-20.1%). See all Consumer Defensive listings →

Questions about EL

What people ask.

Why is EL on Broken Stocks?

EL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -33.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $121.26, set on 2026-02-03 — 100d ago.

Is EL a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. EL is down -33.3% from its 52-week high of $121.26, set 100d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is EL a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is EL trading inside its 52-week range?

At $80.83, EL sits 44.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($48.37) to its 52-week high ($121.64). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has EL been declining?

The current 33.3% decline accrued over 100d, which annualizes to roughly -121.5% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does EL compare to its sector?

There are 47 other Consumer Defensive tickers on Broken Stocks: 27 Red, 13 Amber, 7 Watch, with 11 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.4% — EL's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does EL's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-01) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.