Decline depth
-20.4%
From rolling 252-day high of $120.79, 198d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Amber ListRecovering
ELEstee Lauder Companies, Inc. (T
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products · large-cap ($30.7B)
-20.4%
from rolling 252-day high of $120.79 set 2026-02-03 · 198d ago
Current
$96.15
Decline depth
-20.4%
Decline σ
1.4σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$EL landed on the list 2026-03-08, down 23.8% from its 52-week high that day — now down -20.4%.
It has clawed back 7.6 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 44.7% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-09 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
EL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
1.4σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.97% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about EL.
EL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -20.4% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether EL's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.
Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase weekly. Last bar types — daily 1 (red), weekly 3 (green), monthly 2U (green).
Earnings on file: 2026-08-19. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about EL
What people ask.
Why is EL on Broken Stocks?
EL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -20.4% from its rolling 252-day high of $120.79, set on 2026-02-03 — 198d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for EL?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — EL is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is EL a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. EL is down -20.4% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is EL a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is EL trading inside its 52-week range?
At $96.15, EL sits 54.0% of the way from its 52-week low ($66.22) to its 52-week high ($121.64). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has EL been declining?
The current 20.4% decline accrued over 198d, which annualizes to roughly -37.6% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does EL compare to its sector?
There are 44 other Consumer Defensive tickers on Broken Stocks: 21 Red, 14 Amber, 9 Watch, with 15 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -33.6% — EL's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does EL's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-19) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.