Watch

HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles · mid-cap ($2.7B)
-22.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $31.25 set 2025-09-17 · 243d ago
Current
$24.35
Decline depth
-22.1%
Decline σ
2.9σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$HOG has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 43.1% from its 52-week high then — now down -22.1%.

It has clawed back 17.9 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 45.0% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

HOG qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.

Decline depth
-22.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $31.25, 243d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
2.9σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.57% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about HOG.

HOG qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -22.1% from its rolling 252-day high.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-05. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $17.09 51.3% of range 52W high $31.25

Sector context · Consumer Cyclical

155 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.

99 Red List
30 Amber
26 Watch
-35.8% Median decline

Worst in sector: WING (-66.6%). Least-bad: PENN (-20.0%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →

Questions about HOG

What people ask.

Why is HOG on Broken Stocks?

HOG qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -22.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $31.25, set on 2025-09-17 — 243d ago.

Is HOG a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. HOG is down -22.1% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is HOG a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is HOG trading inside its 52-week range?

At $24.35, HOG sits 51.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($17.09) to its 52-week high ($31.25). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has HOG been declining?

The current 22.1% decline accrued over 243d, which annualizes to roughly -33.2% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does HOG compare to its sector?

There are 155 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 99 Red, 30 Amber, 26 Watch, with 49 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.8% — HOG's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does HOG's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-05) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.