Decline depth
-28.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $18.79, 49d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
-28.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $18.79 set 2026-07-02 · 49d ago
Current
$13.52
Decline depth
-28.1%
Decline σ
6.5σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$AAL has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 24.1% from its 52-week high then — now down -28.1%.
It has clawed back 7.9 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 38.3% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
AAL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
6.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.32% per day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about AAL.
AAL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -28.1% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.5σ over 20 bars.
Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 1 (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-07-23. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about AAL
What people ask.
Why is AAL on Broken Stocks?
AAL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -28.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $18.79, set on 2026-07-02 — 49d ago.
Is AAL a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. AAL is down -28.1% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is AAL a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is AAL trading inside its 52-week range?
At $13.52, AAL sits 39.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($10.09) to its 52-week high ($18.79). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has AAL been declining?
The current 28.1% decline accrued over 49d, which annualizes to roughly -209.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does AAL compare to its sector?
There are 151 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 67 Red, 41 Amber, 43 Watch, with 29 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -30.9% — AAL's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does AAL's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-23) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.