Amber List

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · large-cap ($37.5B)
-39.0%
from rolling 252-day high of $54.29 set 2025-07-18 · 368d ago
Current
$33.47
Decline depth
-39.0%
Decline σ
4.9σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$CMG has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 37.2% from its 52-week high then — now down -39.0%.

That's 5.8 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 51.8% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

CMG qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-39.0%
From rolling 252-day high of $54.29, 368d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
4.9σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.67% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about CMG.

CMG qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -39.0% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 4.9σ over 10 bars.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-07-29. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $28.16 17.5% of range 52W high $58.42

Sector context · Consumer Cyclical

138 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.

52 Red List
41 Amber
45 Watch
-31.9% Median decline

Worst in sector: LCID (-78.5%). Least-bad: BIRK (-20.1%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →

Questions about CMG

What people ask.

Why is CMG on Broken Stocks?

CMG qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -39.0% from its rolling 252-day high of $54.29, set on 2025-07-18 — 368d ago.

Is CMG a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. CMG is down -39.0% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 368d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. CMG is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is CMG a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is CMG trading inside its 52-week range?

At $33.47, CMG sits 17.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($28.16) to its 52-week high ($58.42). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has CMG been declining?

The current 39.0% decline accrued over 368d, which annualizes to roughly -38.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does CMG compare to its sector?

There are 138 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 52 Red, 41 Amber, 45 Watch, with 32 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -31.9% — CMG's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does CMG's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-29) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.