Watch

ERIEErie Indemnity Company

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers · large-cap ($12.7B)
-26.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $334.62 set 2025-09-15 · 363d ago
Current
$245.03
Decline depth
-26.8%
Decline σ
5.4σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$ERIE has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 41.6% from its 52-week high then — now down -26.8%.

That's 4.8 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 54.6% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

ERIE qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.

Decline depth
-26.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $334.62, 363d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3. Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
5.4σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (2.19%/day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about ERIE.

ERIE qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -26.8% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.4σ over 20 bars.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2D (red), monthly 1 (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-07-30. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.

Questions about ERIE

What people ask.

Why is ERIE on Broken Stocks?

ERIE qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -26.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $334.62, set on 2025-09-15 — 363d ago.

Is ERIE a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. ERIE is down -26.8% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is ERIE a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is ERIE trading inside its 52-week range?

At $245.03, ERIE sits 22.9% of the way from its 52-week low ($204.63) to its 52-week high ($380.67). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has ERIE been declining?

The current 26.8% decline accrued over 363d, which annualizes to roughly -26.9% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does ERIE compare to its sector?

There are 133 other Financial Services tickers on Broken Stocks: 67 Red, 39 Amber, 27 Watch, with 13 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -33.1% — ERIE's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does ERIE's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-30) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.