Red List

FBTCFidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fu

-42.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $110.25 set 2025-10-06 · 234d ago
Current
$63.84
Decline depth
-42.1%
Decline σ
6.5σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$FBTC landed on the list 2026-05-14, down 35.7% from its 52-week high that day — now down -42.1%.

That's 14.1 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-05-14 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

FBTC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-42.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $110.25, 234d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
6.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.82% per day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about FBTC.

FBTC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -42.1% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.5σ over 20 bars.

52-week range

52W low $54.20 17.2% of range 52W high $110.25

Questions about FBTC

What people ask.

Why is FBTC on Broken Stocks?

FBTC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -42.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $110.25, set on 2025-10-06 — 234d ago.

Is FBTC a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. FBTC is down -42.1% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 234d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. FBTC is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is FBTC a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is FBTC trading inside its 52-week range?

At $63.84, FBTC sits 17.2% of the way from its 52-week low ($54.20) to its 52-week high ($110.25). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has FBTC been declining?

The current 42.1% decline accrued over 234d, which annualizes to roughly -65.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.