Amber List
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)
-38.0%
from rolling 252-day high of $99.12 set 2025-10-06 · 222d ago
Current
$61.44
Decline depth
-38.0%
Decline σ
2.2σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

GBTC qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-38.0%
From rolling 252-day high of $99.12, 222d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
2.2σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.04% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about GBTC.

GBTC qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -38.0% from its rolling 252-day high.

52-week range

52W low $48.55 25.5% of range 52W high $99.12

Questions about GBTC

What people ask.

Why is GBTC on Broken Stocks?

GBTC qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -38.0% from its rolling 252-day high of $99.12, set on 2025-10-06 — 222d ago.

Is GBTC a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. GBTC is down -38.0% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 222d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. GBTC is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is GBTC a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is GBTC trading inside its 52-week range?

At $61.44, GBTC sits 25.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($48.55) to its 52-week high ($99.12). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has GBTC been declining?

The current 38.0% decline accrued over 222d, which annualizes to roughly -62.5% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.