Decline depth
-60.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $99.01, 265d ago.
Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Red List
NAILDirexion Daily Homebuilders & S
-60.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $99.01 set 2025-09-05 · 265d ago
Current
$38.80
Decline depth
-60.8%
Decline σ
2.9σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$NAIL landed on the list 2026-05-14, down 64.8% from its 52-week high that day — now down -60.8%.
It has clawed back 8.3 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 68.6% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-05-14 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
NAIL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
2.9σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (6.2% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about NAIL.
NAIL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -60.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.
52-week range
52W low $33.26
8.4% of range
52W high $99.01
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to NAIL
Questions about NAIL
What people ask.
Why is NAIL on Broken Stocks?
NAIL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -60.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $99.01, set on 2025-09-05 — 265d ago.
Is NAIL a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. NAIL is down -60.8% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 265d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. NAIL is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is NAIL a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is NAIL trading inside its 52-week range?
At $38.80, NAIL sits 8.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($33.26) to its 52-week high ($99.01). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has NAIL been declining?
The current 60.8% decline accrued over 265d, which annualizes to roughly -83.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.