Decline depth
-24.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $17.27, 315d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Red List
NCDLNuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp
Financial Services · Asset Management · small-cap ($628M)
-24.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $17.27 set 2025-07-17 · 315d ago
Current
$12.98
Decline depth
-24.8%
Decline σ
8.2σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$NCDL has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 26.7% from its 52-week high then — now down -24.8%.
That's 1.5 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
NCDL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
8.2σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.77% per day).
Past the ≥8σ Red List threshold — an extreme move.
The structural read
What price action says about NCDL.
NCDL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -24.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 8.2σ over 20 bars.
52-week range
52W low $12.50
10.1% of range
52W high $17.27
Sector context · Financial Services
104 other Financial Services tickers are on Broken Stocks.
49
Red List
35
Amber
20
Watch
-34.1%
Median decline
Worst in sector: CD (-76.4%). Least-bad: SCHW (-20.1%). See all Financial Services listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to NCDL
WatchRecovering
OMF
OneMain Holdings, Inc.
WatchRecovering
SII
Sprott Inc.
Red List
IBN
ICICI Bank Limited
Watch
HCI
HCI Group, Inc.
Amber List
EQH
Equitable Holdings, Inc.
WatchRecovering
TSLX
Sixth Street Specialty Lending,
Questions about NCDL
What people ask.
Why is NCDL on Broken Stocks?
NCDL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -24.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $17.27, set on 2025-07-17 — 315d ago.
Is NCDL a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. NCDL is down -24.8% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is NCDL a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is NCDL trading inside its 52-week range?
At $12.98, NCDL sits 10.1% of the way from its 52-week low ($12.50) to its 52-week high ($17.27). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has NCDL been declining?
The current 24.8% decline accrued over 315d, which annualizes to roughly -28.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does NCDL compare to its sector?
There are 104 other Financial Services tickers on Broken Stocks: 49 Red, 35 Amber, 20 Watch, with 40 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.1% — NCDL's decline is shallower than the sector median.