Decline depth
-21.9%
From rolling 252-day high of $11.97, 77d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
-21.9%
from rolling 252-day high of $11.97 set 2026-02-26 · 77d ago
Current
$9.35
Decline depth
-21.9%
Decline σ
3.7σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Structural break signals
NVAX qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
3.7σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (4.72% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about NVAX.
NVAX qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -21.9% from its rolling 252-day high.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2U (green).
Earnings on file: 2026-05-06. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
52-week range
52W low $5.87
57.0% of range
52W high $11.97
Sector context · Healthcare
182 other Healthcare tickers are on Broken Stocks.
93
Red List
43
Amber
46
Watch
-35.8%
Median decline
Worst in sector: OPRX (-76.7%). Least-bad: ANIP (-20.0%). See all Healthcare listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to NVAX
Watch
ELAN
Elanco Animal Health Incorporat
Watch
MASS
908 Devices Inc.
Watch
SHC
Sotera Health Company
Amber List
COGT
Cogent Biosciences, Inc.
Amber List
INFU
InfuSystems Holdings, Inc.
Watch Recovering
BIOA
BioAge Labs, Inc.
Questions about NVAX
What people ask.
Why is NVAX on Broken Stocks?
NVAX qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -21.9% from its rolling 252-day high of $11.97, set on 2026-02-26 — 77d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for NVAX?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — NVAX is still Watch because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is NVAX a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. NVAX is down -21.9% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is NVAX a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is NVAX trading inside its 52-week range?
At $9.35, NVAX sits 57.0% of the way from its 52-week low ($5.87) to its 52-week high ($11.97). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has NVAX been declining?
The current 21.9% decline accrued over 77d, which annualizes to roughly -103.8% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does NVAX compare to its sector?
There are 182 other Healthcare tickers on Broken Stocks: 93 Red, 43 Amber, 46 Watch, with 54 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.8% — NVAX's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does NVAX's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-06) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.