Decline depth
-29.7%
From rolling 252-day high of $11.97, 175d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
-29.7%
from rolling 252-day high of $11.97 set 2026-02-26 · 175d ago
Current
$8.42
Decline depth
-29.7%
Decline σ
2.9σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$NVAX landed on the list 2026-03-26, down 25.2% from its 52-week high that day — now down -29.7%.
Roughly where it joined — no recovery, no further break. It bottomed 38.8% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-26 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
NVAX qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
2.9σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.18% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about NVAX.
NVAX qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -29.7% from its rolling 252-day high.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether NVAX's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.
Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase weekly. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2U (green), monthly 1 (green).
Earnings on file: 2026-05-06. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about NVAX
What people ask.
Why is NVAX on Broken Stocks?
NVAX qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -29.7% from its rolling 252-day high of $11.97, set on 2026-02-26 — 175d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for NVAX?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — NVAX is still Watch because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is NVAX a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. NVAX is down -29.7% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is NVAX a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is NVAX trading inside its 52-week range?
At $8.42, NVAX sits 38.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($6.20) to its 52-week high ($11.97). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has NVAX been declining?
The current 29.7% decline accrued over 175d, which annualizes to roughly -61.9% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does NVAX compare to its sector?
There are 143 other Healthcare tickers on Broken Stocks: 70 Red, 35 Amber, 38 Watch, with 49 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.1% — NVAX's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does NVAX's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-06) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.