Red ListRecovering

OSGOctave Specialty Group, Inc.

Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty · micro-cap ($244M)
-40.9%
from rolling 252-day high of $10.38 set 2025-11-11 · 252d ago
Current
$6.04
Decline depth
-40.9%
Decline σ
2.5σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$OSG has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 51.8% from its 52-week high then — now down -40.9%.

It has clawed back 3.3 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 65.9% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

OSG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-40.9%
From rolling 252-day high of $10.38, 252d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
2.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.92% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about OSG.

OSG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -40.9% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether OSG's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 1 (green), monthly 1 (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-06. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $3.88 33.2% of range 52W high $10.38

Sector context · Financial Services

78 other Financial Services tickers are on Broken Stocks.

35 Red List
27 Amber
16 Watch
-36.6% Median decline

Worst in sector: CRCL (-75.1%). Least-bad: TRU (-20.0%). See all Financial Services listings →

Questions about OSG

What people ask.

Why is OSG on Broken Stocks?

OSG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -40.9% from its rolling 252-day high of $10.38, set on 2025-11-11 — 252d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for OSG?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — OSG is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is OSG a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. OSG is down -40.9% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 252d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. OSG is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is OSG a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is OSG trading inside its 52-week range?

At $6.04, OSG sits 33.2% of the way from its 52-week low ($3.88) to its 52-week high ($10.38). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has OSG been declining?

The current 40.9% decline accrued over 252d, which annualizes to roughly -59.2% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does OSG compare to its sector?

There are 78 other Financial Services tickers on Broken Stocks: 35 Red, 27 Amber, 16 Watch, with 20 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.6% — OSG's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does OSG's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-06) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.