Decline depth
-28.6%
From rolling 252-day high of $272.29, 359d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Watch
PGRProgressive Corporation (The)
Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · large-cap ($118.5B)
-28.6%
from rolling 252-day high of $272.29 set 2025-06-03 · 359d ago
Current
$194.51
Decline depth
-28.6%
Decline σ
5.8σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$PGR has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 27.2% from its 52-week high then — now down -28.6%.
That's 3.2 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 35.0% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
PGR qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
5.8σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.02% per day).
Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about PGR.
PGR qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -28.6% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.8σ over 10 bars.
Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-04-15. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
52-week range
52W low $192.02
2.5% of range
52W high $289.96
Sector context · Financial Services
104 other Financial Services tickers are on Broken Stocks.
50
Red List
35
Amber
19
Watch
-34.1%
Median decline
Worst in sector: CD (-76.4%). Least-bad: SCHW (-20.1%). See all Financial Services listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to PGR
WatchRecovering
MBI
MBIA Inc.
WatchRecovering
BXSL
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
Watch
WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Lim
Amber ListRecovering
TRU
TransUnion
Watch
BOW
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
Amber ListRecovering
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.
Questions about PGR
What people ask.
Why is PGR on Broken Stocks?
PGR qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -28.6% from its rolling 252-day high of $272.29, set on 2025-06-03 — 359d ago.
Is PGR a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. PGR is down -28.6% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is PGR a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is PGR trading inside its 52-week range?
At $194.51, PGR sits 2.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($192.02) to its 52-week high ($289.96). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has PGR been declining?
The current 28.6% decline accrued over 359d, which annualizes to roughly -29.1% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does PGR compare to its sector?
There are 104 other Financial Services tickers on Broken Stocks: 50 Red, 35 Amber, 19 Watch, with 40 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.1% — PGR's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does PGR's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-04-15) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.