Red ListRecovering

SBSWD/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining · mid-cap ($8.5B)
-41.2%
from rolling 252-day high of $20.69 set 2026-01-29 · 119d ago
Current
$12.16
Decline depth
-41.2%
Decline σ
3.6σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$SBSW landed on the list 2026-03-02, down 20.2% from its 52-week high that day — now down -41.2%.

That's 33.5 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 57.4% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

SBSW qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-41.2%
From rolling 252-day high of $20.69, 119d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
3.6σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (4.8% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about SBSW.

SBSW qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -41.2% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether SBSW's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.

Upstream TFC read: strong alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 3 (green), weekly 1 (green), monthly 2D (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-02-20. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $3.18 49.6% of range 52W high $21.29

Sector context · Basic Materials

52 other Basic Materials tickers are on Broken Stocks.

20 Red List
6 Amber
26 Watch
-29.9% Median decline

Worst in sector: METC (-71.2%). Least-bad: SCL (-20.2%). See all Basic Materials listings →

Questions about SBSW

What people ask.

Why is SBSW on Broken Stocks?

SBSW qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -41.2% from its rolling 252-day high of $20.69, set on 2026-01-29 — 119d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for SBSW?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — SBSW is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is SBSW a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. SBSW is down -41.2% from its 52-week high of $20.69, set 119d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is SBSW a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is SBSW trading inside its 52-week range?

At $12.16, SBSW sits 49.6% of the way from its 52-week low ($3.18) to its 52-week high ($21.29). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has SBSW been declining?

The current 41.2% decline accrued over 119d, which annualizes to roughly -126.4% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does SBSW compare to its sector?

There are 52 other Basic Materials tickers on Broken Stocks: 20 Red, 6 Amber, 26 Watch, with 33 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -29.9% — SBSW's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does SBSW's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-20) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.