Decline depth
—
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Amber List
SJMThe J.M. Smucker Company
6.6σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.78%)
Current
$121.14
Decline depth
—
Decline σ
6.6σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$SJM landed on the list 2026-03-26, down 21.2% from its 52-week high that day — now $121.14.
It has clawed back 21.5 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 25.9% below that high along the way.
From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-26 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
SJM qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
6.6σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.78%/day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about SJM.
SJM qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 6.6σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.
Questions about SJM
What people ask.
Why is SJM on Broken Stocks?
SJM qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 6.6σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.78%).
Is SJM a falling knife?
SJM is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.
Is SJM a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is SJM trading inside its 52-week range?
At $121.14, SJM sits 48.8% of the way from its 52-week low ($107.10) to its 52-week high ($135.89). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.