WatchRecovering

TACTransAlta Corporation

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers · mid-cap ($4.0B)
-29.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $17.81 set 2025-10-29 · 295d ago
Current
$12.59
Decline depth
-29.3%
Decline σ
5.7σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$TAC has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 22.7% from its 52-week high then — now down -29.3%.

That's 9.0 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

TAC qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.

Decline depth
-29.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $17.81, 295d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
5.7σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.21% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about TAC.

TAC qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -29.3% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.7σ over 20 bars.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether TAC's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2D (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-07-31. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

Questions about TAC

What people ask.

Why is TAC on Broken Stocks?

TAC qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -29.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $17.81, set on 2025-10-29 — 295d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for TAC?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — TAC is still Watch because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is TAC a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. TAC is down -29.3% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is TAC a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is TAC trading inside its 52-week range?

At $12.59, TAC sits 18.6% of the way from its 52-week low ($11.38) to its 52-week high ($17.88). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has TAC been declining?

The current 29.3% decline accrued over 295d, which annualizes to roughly -36.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does TAC compare to its sector?

There are 12 other Utilities tickers on Broken Stocks: 4 Red, 5 Amber, 3 Watch. Median sector decline is -35.0% — TAC's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does TAC's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-31) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.