Amber List Recovering
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers · mega-cap ($221.3B)
-23.5%
from rolling 252-day high of $248.90 set 2026-02-13 · 90d ago
Current
$190.50
Decline depth
-23.5%
Decline σ
6.7σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

TM qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-23.5%
From rolling 252-day high of $248.90, 90d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
6.7σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.04% per day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about TM.

TM qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -23.5% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.7σ over 20 bars.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2D (green), monthly 2D (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-08. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $167.18 28.5% of range 52W high $248.90

Sector context · Consumer Cyclical

128 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.

60 Red List
42 Amber
26 Watch
-35.3% Median decline

Worst in sector: FLUT (-70.1%). Least-bad: THRM (-20.3%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →

Questions about TM

What people ask.

Why is TM on Broken Stocks?

TM qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -23.5% from its rolling 252-day high of $248.90, set on 2026-02-13 — 90d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for TM?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — TM is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is TM a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. TM is down -23.5% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is TM a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is TM trading inside its 52-week range?

At $190.50, TM sits 28.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($167.18) to its 52-week high ($248.90). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has TM been declining?

The current 23.5% decline accrued over 90d, which annualizes to roughly -95.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does TM compare to its sector?

There are 128 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 60 Red, 42 Amber, 26 Watch, with 18 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.3% — TM's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does TM's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-08) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.