Decline depth
-20.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $248.90, 245d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
-20.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $248.90 set 2026-02-13 · 245d ago
Current
$194.61
Decline depth
-20.8%
Decline σ
1.0σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Where it stands
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Snapshot . Price structure, not a judgment about the business.
What changed
Since the previous observation.
Tier and recovery signal are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing with . This compares classification, not price returns.
See the recorded timeline →Why it is flagged
TM is held on the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Inspect the three classification measures
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
1.0σ
Drop over the last 5 bars in units of daily volatility (1.31%/day).
Price history
The price path behind the snapshot.
Daily prices with the rolling-high reference. When a recorded classification event falls on a displayed trading date, it is marked on the chart.
Rolling 252-day high
Gold dots: recorded classification events (see timeline)
Up day
Down day
90 daily bars from Alpaca · through
The recorded history
A timeline of observations.
First observed 2026-05-15. These are scan observations, not exact transition times or the start of a decline. Missing scan dates are not filled in.
- Watch → Amber List
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch
- Watch; recovery signal active → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
- Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
- Watch; recovery signal active → Watch
- Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
- Watch; recovery signal active → Watch
- Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
- Watch; recovery signal active → Watch
- Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
- Watch; recovery signal active → Watch
- Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
Showing the latest 12 of 37 recorded events.
Absence from a captured list does not establish recovery. Historical tiers reflect the rules and data recorded at that time.
Technical interpretation and signal details
The structural read
What price action says about TM.
TM is held on the Amber List. A tier moves down, or a name leaves the list, only after five consecutive scans below the tier's rules with a cushion of 3 points on depth and 1σ on sigma. Today's unbuffered reading: Watch.
Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2U (red), monthly 2U (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-08-04. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.
Questions about TM
What people ask.
Why is TM on Broken Stocks?
TM is held on the Amber List. Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Is TM a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. TM is down -20.8% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is TM a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is TM trading inside its 52-week range?
At $194.61, TM sits 34.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($166.10) to its 52-week high ($248.90). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has TM been declining?
The current 20.8% decline accrued over 245d, which annualizes to roughly -31.0% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does TM compare to its sector?
There are 411 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 290 Red, 85 Amber, 36 Watch, with 243 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.6% — TM's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does TM's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering uses decline depth and recency, bearish time-frame structure, and decline sigma. The earnings date on file (2026-08-04) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.