Red List

TSCOTractor Supply Company

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · large-cap ($16.5B)
-44.5%
from rolling 252-day high of $59.43 set 2025-09-15 · 363d ago
Current
$33.01
Decline depth
-44.5%
Decline σ
6.3σ
TFC
5/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$TSCO landed on the list 2026-03-08, down 20.8% from its 52-week high that day — now down -44.5%.

That's 27.6 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 54.5% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-09 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

TSCO qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-44.5%
From rolling 252-day high of $59.43, 363d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
5/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3. Full bearish continuity — every time frame is broken.
Decline sigma
6.3σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.54%/day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about TSCO.

TSCO qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -44.5% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 5/5 bearish time frames.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.3σ over 20 bars.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 3 (red), monthly 1 (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-07-23. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.

Questions about TSCO

What people ask.

Why is TSCO on Broken Stocks?

TSCO qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -44.5% from its rolling 252-day high of $59.43, set on 2025-09-15 — 363d ago.

Is TSCO a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. TSCO is down -44.5% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 363d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. TSCO is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is TSCO a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is TSCO trading inside its 52-week range?

At $33.01, TSCO sits 13.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($28.36) to its 52-week high ($62.89). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has TSCO been declining?

The current 44.5% decline accrued over 363d, which annualizes to roughly -44.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does TSCO compare to its sector?

There are 244 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 132 Red, 62 Amber, 50 Watch, with 19 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.0% — TSCO's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does TSCO's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-23) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.