Red List

AAAlcoa Corporation

Basic Materials · Aluminum · large-cap ($12.5B)
-45.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $84.38 set 2026-06-02 · 50d ago
Current
$46.17
Decline depth
-45.3%
Decline σ
5.9σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$AA landed on the list 2026-07-01, down 43.7% from its 52-week high that day — now down -45.3%.

That's 3.9 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-07-01 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

AA qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-45.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $84.38, 50d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
5.9σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.21% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about AA.

AA qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -45.3% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.9σ over 20 bars.

Earnings on file: 2026-07-16. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $28.11 32.1% of range 52W high $84.38

Sector context · Basic Materials

68 other Basic Materials tickers are on Broken Stocks.

30 Red List
20 Amber
18 Watch
-36.6% Median decline

Worst in sector: CRML (-79.7%). Least-bad: OLN (-20.4%). See all Basic Materials listings →

Questions about AA

What people ask.

Why is AA on Broken Stocks?

AA qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -45.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $84.38, set on 2026-06-02 — 50d ago.

Is AA a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. AA is down -45.3% from its 52-week high of $84.38, set 50d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is AA a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is AA trading inside its 52-week range?

At $46.17, AA sits 32.1% of the way from its 52-week low ($28.11) to its 52-week high ($84.38). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has AA been declining?

The current 45.3% decline accrued over 50d, which annualizes to roughly -330.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does AA compare to its sector?

There are 68 other Basic Materials tickers on Broken Stocks: 30 Red, 20 Amber, 18 Watch, with 33 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.6% — AA's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does AA's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-16) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.