Red List

AAAlcoa Corporation

Basic Materials · Aluminum · large-cap ($11.7B)
-40.6%
from rolling 252-day high of $84.22 set 2026-06-02 · 75d ago
Current
$49.98
Decline depth
-40.6%
Decline σ
3.3σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$AA landed on the list 2026-07-01, down 43.7% from its 52-week high that day — now down -40.6%.

It has clawed back 2.9 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 49.2% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-07-01 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

AA qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-40.6%
From rolling 252-day high of $84.22, 75d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
3.3σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.11% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about AA.

AA qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -40.6% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.

Earnings on file: 2026-07-16. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

Questions about AA

What people ask.

Why is AA on Broken Stocks?

AA qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -40.6% from its rolling 252-day high of $84.22, set on 2026-06-02 — 75d ago.

Is AA a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. AA is down -40.6% from its 52-week high of $84.22, set 75d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is AA a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is AA trading inside its 52-week range?

At $49.98, AA sits 38.9% of the way from its 52-week low ($28.11) to its 52-week high ($84.38). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has AA been declining?

The current 40.6% decline accrued over 75d, which annualizes to roughly -197.6% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does AA compare to its sector?

There are 57 other Basic Materials tickers on Broken Stocks: 25 Red, 9 Amber, 23 Watch, with 22 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -31.0% — AA's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does AA's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-16) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.