Amber List

ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.

5.4σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.49%)
Current
$268.26
Decline depth
Decline σ
5.4σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$ADP has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 34.8% from its 52-week high then — now $268.26.

It has clawed back 16.1 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 42.8% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

ADP qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma.

Decline depth
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
5.4σ
Drop over the last 10 bars in units of daily volatility (1.49%/day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about ADP.

ADP qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 5.4σ over a 10-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (red).

Questions about ADP

What people ask.

Why is ADP on Broken Stocks?

ADP qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 5.4σ over a 10-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.49%).

Is ADP a falling knife?

ADP is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.

Is ADP a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is ADP trading inside its 52-week range?

At $268.26, ADP sits 73.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($213.80) to its 52-week high ($288.00). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.