Red List

AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · mid-cap ($3.0B)
-43.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $28.46 set 2026-01-06 · 226d ago
Current
$16.00
Decline depth
-43.8%
Decline σ
5.0σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$AEO landed on the list 2026-03-02, down 20.9% from its 52-week high that day — now down -43.8%.

That's 22.3 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 47.8% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

AEO qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-43.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $28.46, 226d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
5.0σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.84% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about AEO.

AEO qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -43.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.0σ over 10 bars.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-28. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

Questions about AEO

What people ask.

Why is AEO on Broken Stocks?

AEO qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -43.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $28.46, set on 2026-01-06 — 226d ago.

Is AEO a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. AEO is down -43.8% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 226d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. AEO is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is AEO a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is AEO trading inside its 52-week range?

At $16.00, AEO sits 31.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($10.29) to its 52-week high ($28.46). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has AEO been declining?

The current 43.8% decline accrued over 226d, which annualizes to roughly -70.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does AEO compare to its sector?

There are 130 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 53 Red, 50 Amber, 27 Watch, with 35 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.0% — AEO's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does AEO's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-28) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.