Amber List

AGMFederal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation

5.7σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.24%)
Current
$224.45
Decline depth
Decline σ
5.7σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$AGM has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 24.4% from its 52-week high then — now $224.45.

It has clawed back 30.9 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 34.1% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

AGM qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma.

Decline depth
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
5.7σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.24%/day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about AGM.

AGM qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 5.7σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 1 (red), weekly 2U (red), monthly 1 (green).

Questions about AGM

What people ask.

Why is AGM on Broken Stocks?

AGM qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 5.7σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.24%).

Is AGM a falling knife?

AGM is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.

Is AGM a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is AGM trading inside its 52-week range?

At $224.45, AGM sits 64.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($181.13) to its 52-week high ($248.28). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.