Watch

ARIAPOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC.

4.9σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 7.57%)
Current
$6.92
Decline depth
Decline σ
4.9σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$ARI landed on the list 2026-07-16, down 37.5% from its 52-week high that day — now $6.92.

That's 1.3 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-07-16 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

ARI qualifies for the Watch on decline sigma.

Decline depth
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
4.9σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (7.57% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about ARI.

ARI qualifies for the Watch on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 4.9σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.

52-week range

52W low $6.75 3.9% of range 52W high $11.19

Questions about ARI

What people ask.

Why is ARI on Broken Stocks?

ARI qualifies for the Watch on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 4.9σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (7.57%).

Is ARI a falling knife?

ARI is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.

Is ARI a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is ARI trading inside its 52-week range?

At $6.92, ARI sits 3.9% of the way from its 52-week low ($6.75) to its 52-week high ($11.19). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.