Decline depth
—
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Red List
BCSFBain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.
10.3σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.05%)
Current
$11.54
Decline depth
—
Decline σ
10.3σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$BCSF has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 33.0% from its 52-week high then — now $11.54.
That's 7.6 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.
From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
BCSF qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
10.3σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.05%/day).
Past the ≥8σ Red List threshold — an extreme move.
The structural read
What price action says about BCSF.
BCSF qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 10.3σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.
Questions about BCSF
What people ask.
Why is BCSF on Broken Stocks?
BCSF qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 10.3σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.05%).
Is BCSF a falling knife?
BCSF is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.
Is BCSF a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is BCSF trading inside its 52-week range?
At $11.54, BCSF sits 2.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($11.50) to its 52-week high ($13.22). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.