Decline depth
-27.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $19.88, 126d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Amber List
BXMTBlackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NEW)
-27.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $19.88 set 2026-04-16 · 126d ago
Current
$14.35
Decline depth
-27.8%
Decline σ
6.2σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$BXMT landed on the list 2026-07-30, down 27.6% from its 52-week high that day — now down -27.8%.
That's 3.3 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-07-30 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
BXMT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
6.2σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.55% per day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about BXMT.
BXMT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -27.8% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.2σ over 20 bars.
Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2D (red).
Questions about BXMT
What people ask.
Why is BXMT on Broken Stocks?
BXMT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -27.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $19.88, set on 2026-04-16 — 126d ago.
Is BXMT a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. BXMT is down -27.8% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is BXMT a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is BXMT trading inside its 52-week range?
At $14.35, BXMT sits 12.7% of the way from its 52-week low ($13.73) to its 52-week high ($18.61). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has BXMT been declining?
The current 27.8% decline accrued over 126d, which annualizes to roughly -80.5% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.