Decline depth
-27.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $19.88, 119d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Amber ListRecovering
BXMTBlackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NEW)
-27.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $19.88 set 2026-04-16 · 119d ago
Current
$14.50
Decline depth
-27.1%
Decline σ
7.0σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$BXMT landed on the list 2026-07-30, down 27.6% from its 52-week high that day — now down -27.1%.
That's 2.3 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 33.0% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-07-30 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
BXMT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
7.0σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.51% per day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about BXMT.
BXMT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -27.1% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 7.0σ over 20 bars.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether BXMT's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.
Upstream TFC read: strong alignment, current phase weekly. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2U (green), monthly 2D (green).
Questions about BXMT
What people ask.
Why is BXMT on Broken Stocks?
BXMT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -27.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $19.88, set on 2026-04-16 — 119d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for BXMT?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — BXMT is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is BXMT a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. BXMT is down -27.1% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is BXMT a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is BXMT trading inside its 52-week range?
At $14.50, BXMT sits 15.8% of the way from its 52-week low ($13.73) to its 52-week high ($18.61). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has BXMT been declining?
The current 27.1% decline accrued over 119d, which annualizes to roughly -83.1% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.