Amber List

CAECAE Inc

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · mid-cap ($8.5B)
-27.0%
from rolling 252-day high of $34.24 set 2026-01-16 · 216d ago
Current
$24.99
Decline depth
-27.0%
Decline σ
6.0σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$CAE landed on the list 2026-03-14, down 18.4% from its 52-week high that day — now down -27.0%.

That's 8.8 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 32.4% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-16 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

CAE qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-27.0%
From rolling 252-day high of $34.24, 216d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
6.0σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.3% per day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about CAE.

CAE qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -27.0% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.0σ over 10 bars.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-08-12. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

Questions about CAE

What people ask.

Why is CAE on Broken Stocks?

CAE qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -27.0% from its rolling 252-day high of $34.24, set on 2026-01-16 — 216d ago.

Is CAE a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. CAE is down -27.0% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is CAE a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is CAE trading inside its 52-week range?

At $24.99, CAE sits 19.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($22.76) to its 52-week high ($34.24). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has CAE been declining?

The current 27.0% decline accrued over 216d, which annualizes to roughly -45.6% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does CAE compare to its sector?

There are 151 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 67 Red, 41 Amber, 43 Watch, with 29 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -30.9% — CAE's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does CAE's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-12) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.