Decline depth
-42.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $70.43, 108d ago.
Past the 40% Red List threshold.
-42.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $70.43 set 2026-06-02 · 108d ago
Current
$39.01
Decline depth
-42.1%
Decline σ
7.4σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Where it stands
On the Red List.
Down 42.1% from its rolling 252-day high, 108 days after the high.
Snapshot . Price structure, not a judgment about the business.
What changed
Since the previous observation.
Amber List → Red List.
Comparing with . This compares classification, not price returns.
See the recorded timeline →Why it is flagged
CENX qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Down 42.1% from its rolling 252-day high, 108 days after the high. The most severe triggered rule determines the tier.
Inspect the three classification measures
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
7.4σ
Drop over the last 10 bars in units of daily volatility (2.94%/day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
Price history
The price path behind the snapshot.
Daily prices with the rolling-high reference. When a recorded classification event falls on a displayed trading date, it is marked on the chart.
Rolling 252-day high
Gold dots: recorded classification events (see timeline)
Up day
Down day
90 daily bars from Alpaca · through
The recorded history
A timeline of observations.
First observed 2026-05-15. These are scan observations, not exact transition times or the start of a decline. Missing scan dates are not filled in.
- Amber List → Red List
- Red List → Amber List
- Watch → Red List
- Red List → Watch
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Red List
- Red List → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
- Red List; recovery signal active → Red List
- Red List → Red List; recovery signal active
- Amber List → Red List
- Red List → Amber List
- Amber List → Red List
- Watch → Amber List
Showing the latest 12 of 15 recorded events.
Absence from a captured list does not establish recovery. Historical tiers reflect the rules and data recorded at that time.
Technical interpretation and signal details
The structural read
What price action says about CENX.
CENX qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -42.1% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 7.4σ over 10 bars.
Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-08-06. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.
Questions about CENX
What people ask.
Why is CENX on Broken Stocks?
CENX qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -42.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $70.43, set on 2026-06-02 — 108d ago.
Is CENX a falling knife?
By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. CENX is down -42.1% from its 52-week high of $70.43, set 108d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — the classification does not predict subsequent returns. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.
Is CENX a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is CENX trading inside its 52-week range?
At $39.01, CENX sits 35.7% of the way from its 52-week low ($21.56) to its 52-week high ($70.43). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has CENX been declining?
The current 42.1% decline accrued over 108d, which annualizes to roughly -142.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does CENX compare to its sector?
There are 230 other Basic Materials tickers on Broken Stocks: 128 Red, 61 Amber, 41 Watch, with 101 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.2% — CENX's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does CENX's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering uses decline depth and recency, bearish time-frame structure, and decline sigma. The earnings date on file (2026-08-06) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.