Red ListRecovering

FFord Motor Company

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers · large-cap ($55.8B)
-29.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $17.59 set 2026-05-29 · 140d ago
Current
$12.43
Decline depth
-29.3%
Decline σ
5.6σ
TFC
2/5 bearish

Where it stands

On the Red List.

Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-13. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Snapshot . Price structure, not a judgment about the business.

A bullish structural signal is also active. The Recovering badge coexists with the decline tier; it does not establish a completed recovery.

What changed

Since the previous observation.

Tier and recovery signal are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing with . This compares classification, not price returns.

See the recorded timeline →

Why it is flagged

F is held on the Red List.

Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-13. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Inspect the three classification measures
Decline depth
-29.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $17.59, 140d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
5.6σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.39%/day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

Price history

The price path behind the snapshot.

Daily prices with the rolling-high reference. When a recorded classification event falls on a displayed trading date, it is marked on the chart.

Rolling 252-day high Gold dots: recorded classification events (see timeline) Up day Down day 90 daily bars from Alpaca · through

The recorded history

A timeline of observations.

First observed 2026-06-11. These are scan observations, not exact transition times or the start of a decline. Missing scan dates are not filled in.

  1. Red List → Red List; recovery signal active
  2. Amber List → Red List
  3. Watch → Amber List
  4. Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch
  5. Watch → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
  6. Watch; recovery signal active → Watch
  7. Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
  8. Amber List → Watch
  9. Amber List; recovery signal active → Amber List
  10. Amber List → Amber List; recovery signal active
  11. Amber List; recovery signal active → Amber List
  12. Red List → Amber List; recovery signal active

Showing the latest 12 of 34 recorded events.

Absence from a captured list does not establish recovery. Historical tiers reflect the rules and data recorded at that time.

Around the worst days

What the news said when F fell hardest.

News published within a day of its largest one-day drops points to legal or regulatory action.

  • -4.6%
  • -4.3%
  • -4.2%

A language model's reading of 9 headlines, taken . It classifies the news on those days; it does not explain the whole decline and is not a tier input. How this is produced.

Technical interpretation and signal details

The structural read

What price action says about F.

F is held on the Red List, which it last met on 2026-10-13. A tier moves down, or a name leaves the list, only after five consecutive scans below the tier's rules with a cushion of 3 points on depth and 1σ on sigma. Today's unbuffered reading: Watch.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.6σ over 20 bars.

A confirmed bullish signal on one or more time frames earned the Recovering badge. The tier reflects the most severe price-structure rule; Recovering identifies a separate bullish signal. Not a buy signal.

Whether F's turn is investable is ConvictionEdge's question, not ours.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase weekly. Last bar types — daily 2U (red), weekly 3 (green), monthly 2D (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-07-28. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.

Questions about F

What people ask.

Why is F on Broken Stocks?

F is held on the Red List. Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-13. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for F?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — F is still Red List because a price-structure rule still triggers, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier reflects the most severe triggered rule; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is F a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. F is down -29.3% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is F a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is F trading inside its 52-week range?

At $12.43, F sits 19.8% of the way from its 52-week low ($11.11) to its 52-week high ($17.78). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has F been declining?

The current 29.3% decline accrued over 140d, which annualizes to roughly -76.4% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does F compare to its sector?

There are 411 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 289 Red, 86 Amber, 36 Watch, with 242 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.6% — F's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does F's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering uses decline depth and recency, bearish time-frame structure, and decline sigma. The earnings date on file (2026-07-28) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.