Decline depth
-38.4%
From rolling 252-day high of $27.18, 342d ago.
Past the 30% Amber threshold.
-38.4%
from rolling 252-day high of $27.18 set 2025-09-12 · 342d ago
Current
$16.75
Decline depth
-38.4%
Decline σ
5.7σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$NCLH landed on the list 2026-03-03, down 21.7% from its 52-week high that day — now down -38.4%.
That's 14.9 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 45.6% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-03 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
NCLH qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
5.7σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.99% per day).
Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about NCLH.
NCLH qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -38.4% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.7σ over 20 bars.
Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-07-30. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about NCLH
What people ask.
Why is NCLH on Broken Stocks?
NCLH qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -38.4% from its rolling 252-day high of $27.18, set on 2025-09-12 — 342d ago.
Is NCLH a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. NCLH is down -38.4% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 342d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. NCLH is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is NCLH a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is NCLH trading inside its 52-week range?
At $16.75, NCLH sits 17.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($14.53) to its 52-week high ($27.18). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has NCLH been declining?
The current 38.4% decline accrued over 342d, which annualizes to roughly -41.0% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does NCLH compare to its sector?
There are 130 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 54 Red, 49 Amber, 27 Watch, with 35 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.0% — NCLH's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does NCLH's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-30) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.