Decline depth
-35.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $19.53, 360d ago.
Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Red ListRecovering
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, I
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · small-cap ($801M)
-35.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $19.53 set 2025-08-25 · 360d ago
Current
$12.63
Decline depth
-35.3%
Decline σ
3.4σ
TFC
5/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$FWRG has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 43.3% from its 52-week high then — now down -35.3%.
It has clawed back 2.6 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 54.0% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
FWRG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
5/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Full bearish continuity — every time frame is broken.
Decline sigma
3.4σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.19% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about FWRG.
FWRG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -35.3% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 5/5 bearish time frames.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether FWRG's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.
Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 1 (green), weekly 1 (green), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-08-04. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about FWRG
What people ask.
Why is FWRG on Broken Stocks?
FWRG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -35.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $19.53, set on 2025-08-25 — 360d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for FWRG?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — FWRG is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is FWRG a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. FWRG is down -35.3% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 360d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. FWRG is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is FWRG a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is FWRG trading inside its 52-week range?
At $12.63, FWRG sits 27.8% of the way from its 52-week low ($9.97) to its 52-week high ($19.53). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has FWRG been declining?
The current 35.3% decline accrued over 360d, which annualizes to roughly -35.8% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does FWRG compare to its sector?
There are 130 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 53 Red, 50 Amber, 27 Watch, with 34 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.0% — FWRG's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does FWRG's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-04) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.