Decline depth
-40.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $19.53, 276d ago.
Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Red ListRecovering
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, I
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · small-cap ($641M)
-40.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $19.53 set 2025-08-25 · 276d ago
Current
$11.69
Decline depth
-40.1%
Decline σ
5.7σ
TFC
5/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$FWRG has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 43.3% from its 52-week high then — now down -40.1%.
It has clawed back 1.2 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 54.0% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
FWRG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
5/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Full bearish continuity — every time frame is broken.
Decline sigma
5.7σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.66% per day).
Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about FWRG.
FWRG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -40.1% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 5/5 bearish time frames.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.7σ over 20 bars.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether FWRG's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.
Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2U (green), monthly 1 (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-02-24. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
52-week range
52W low $10.09
15.3% of range
52W high $20.55
Sector context · Consumer Cyclical
132 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.
49
Red List
41
Amber
42
Watch
-33.8%
Median decline
Worst in sector: FLUT (-69.5%). Least-bad: ZUMZ (-20.1%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to FWRG
Red List
WEN
Wendy's Company (The)
Red ListRecovering
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
Amber ListRecovering
NKE
Nike, Inc.
Red ListRecovering
HNI
HNI Corporation
Amber ListRecovering
FOXF
Fox Factory Holding Corp.
Red ListRecovering
WGO
Winnebago Industries, Inc.
Questions about FWRG
What people ask.
Why is FWRG on Broken Stocks?
FWRG qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -40.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $19.53, set on 2025-08-25 — 276d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for FWRG?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — FWRG is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is FWRG a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. FWRG is down -40.1% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 276d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. FWRG is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is FWRG a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is FWRG trading inside its 52-week range?
At $11.69, FWRG sits 15.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($10.09) to its 52-week high ($20.55). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has FWRG been declining?
The current 40.1% decline accrued over 276d, which annualizes to roughly -53.0% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does FWRG compare to its sector?
There are 132 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 49 Red, 41 Amber, 42 Watch, with 83 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -33.8% — FWRG's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does FWRG's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-24) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.