Decline depth
-48.5%
From rolling 252-day high of $78.03, 360d ago.
Past the 40% Red List threshold.
-48.5%
from rolling 252-day high of $78.03 set 2025-08-25 · 360d ago
Current
$40.21
Decline depth
-48.5%
Decline σ
4.3σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$NKE has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 25.1% from its 52-week high then — now down -48.5%.
That's 24.9 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
NKE qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
4.3σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.04% per day).
Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about NKE.
NKE qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -48.5% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 4.3σ over 20 bars.
Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-06-30. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about NKE
What people ask.
Why is NKE on Broken Stocks?
NKE qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -48.5% from its rolling 252-day high of $78.03, set on 2025-08-25 — 360d ago.
Is NKE a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. NKE is down -48.5% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 360d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. NKE is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is NKE a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is NKE trading inside its 52-week range?
At $40.21, NKE sits 3.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($38.86) to its 52-week high ($80.17). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has NKE been declining?
The current 48.5% decline accrued over 360d, which annualizes to roughly -49.2% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does NKE compare to its sector?
There are 130 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 53 Red, 50 Amber, 27 Watch, with 35 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.0% — NKE's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does NKE's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-06-30) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.