Amber ListRecovering

HOVHovnanian Enterprises, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · small-cap ($686M)
-31.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $162.06 set 2025-09-17 · 253d ago
Current
$111.40
Decline depth
-31.3%
Decline σ
1.3σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$HOV has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 25.4% from its 52-week high then — now down -31.3%.

It has clawed back 16.4 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 41.9% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

HOV qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-31.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $162.06, 253d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
1.3σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (5.82% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about HOV.

HOV qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -31.3% from its rolling 252-day high.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether HOV's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase weekly. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2U (green), monthly 2D (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-21. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $85.69 33.7% of range 52W high $162.06

Sector context · Consumer Cyclical

132 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.

50 Red List
40 Amber
42 Watch
-34.1% Median decline

Worst in sector: FLUT (-69.5%). Least-bad: ZUMZ (-20.1%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →

Questions about HOV

What people ask.

Why is HOV on Broken Stocks?

HOV qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -31.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $162.06, set on 2025-09-17 — 253d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for HOV?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — HOV is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is HOV a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. HOV is down -31.3% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 253d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. HOV is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is HOV a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is HOV trading inside its 52-week range?

At $111.40, HOV sits 33.7% of the way from its 52-week low ($85.69) to its 52-week high ($162.06). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has HOV been declining?

The current 31.3% decline accrued over 253d, which annualizes to roughly -45.2% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does HOV compare to its sector?

There are 132 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 50 Red, 40 Amber, 42 Watch, with 83 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.1% — HOV's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does HOV's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-21) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.