Decline depth
-27.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $162.06, 337d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Amber List
HOVHovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · small-cap ($730M)
-27.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $162.06 set 2025-09-17 · 337d ago
Current
$118.13
Decline depth
-27.1%
Decline σ
7.0σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$HOV has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 25.4% from its 52-week high then — now down -27.1%.
It has clawed back 6.5 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 41.9% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
HOV qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
7.0σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.51% per day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about HOV.
HOV qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -27.1% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 7.0σ over 20 bars.
Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-08-20. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about HOV
What people ask.
Why is HOV on Broken Stocks?
HOV qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -27.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $162.06, set on 2025-09-17 — 337d ago.
Is HOV a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. HOV is down -27.1% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is HOV a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is HOV trading inside its 52-week range?
At $118.13, HOV sits 37.7% of the way from its 52-week low ($91.52) to its 52-week high ($162.06). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has HOV been declining?
The current 27.1% decline accrued over 337d, which annualizes to roughly -29.4% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does HOV compare to its sector?
There are 130 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 54 Red, 49 Amber, 27 Watch, with 35 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.2% — HOV's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does HOV's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-20) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.