Decline depth
-24.9%
From rolling 252-day high of $309.85, 34d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
-24.9%
from rolling 252-day high of $309.85 set 2026-08-06 · 34d ago
Current
$232.62
Decline depth
-24.9%
Decline σ
6.6σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$HWM landed on the list 2026-09-08, down 25.3% from its 52-week high that day — now down -24.9%.
Roughly where it joined — no recovery, no further break.
From the 52-week high as of 2026-09-08 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
HWM qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
6.6σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (3.45%/day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about HWM.
HWM qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -24.9% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.6σ over 20 bars.
Earnings on file: 2026-08-06. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.
Questions about HWM
What people ask.
Why is HWM on Broken Stocks?
HWM qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -24.9% from its rolling 252-day high of $309.85, set on 2026-08-06 — 34d ago.
Is HWM a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. HWM is down -24.9% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is HWM a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is HWM trading inside its 52-week range?
At $232.62, HWM sits 42.1% of the way from its 52-week low ($176.32) to its 52-week high ($310.00). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has HWM been declining?
The current 24.9% decline accrued over 34d, which annualizes to roughly -267.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does HWM compare to its sector?
There are 368 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 211 Red, 74 Amber, 83 Watch, with 40 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.6% — HWM's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does HWM's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-06) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.