Red List

KREFKKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.

5.7σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.73%)
Current
$7.15
Decline depth
Decline σ
5.7σ
TFC
5/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$KREF landed on the list 2026-03-02, down 37.1% from its 52-week high that day — now $7.15.

That's 0.9 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 49.0% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

KREF qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma.

Decline depth
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Time-frame continuity
5/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3. Full bearish continuity — every time frame is broken.
Decline sigma
5.7σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.73%/day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about KREF.

KREF qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 5.7σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 5/5 bearish time frames.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 1 (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 1 (red).

Questions about KREF

What people ask.

Why is KREF on Broken Stocks?

KREF qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 5.7σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.73%).

Is KREF a falling knife?

KREF is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.

Is KREF a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is KREF trading inside its 52-week range?

At $7.15, KREF sits 33.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($6.77) to its 52-week high ($7.91). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.