Amber List

MATMattel, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · mid-cap ($4.5B)
-34.5%
from rolling 252-day high of $22.48 set 2026-02-10 · 191d ago
Current
$14.72
Decline depth
-34.5%
Decline σ
4.5σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$MAT landed on the list 2026-03-11, down 28.3% from its 52-week high that day — now down -34.5%.

That's 7.2 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 41.9% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-11 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

MAT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-34.5%
From rolling 252-day high of $22.48, 191d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
4.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.91% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about MAT.

MAT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -34.5% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 4.5σ over 20 bars.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-08-04. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

Questions about MAT

What people ask.

Why is MAT on Broken Stocks?

MAT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -34.5% from its rolling 252-day high of $22.48, set on 2026-02-10 — 191d ago.

Is MAT a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. MAT is down -34.5% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 191d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. MAT is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is MAT a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is MAT trading inside its 52-week range?

At $14.72, MAT sits 20.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($12.73) to its 52-week high ($22.48). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has MAT been declining?

The current 34.5% decline accrued over 191d, which annualizes to roughly -65.9% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does MAT compare to its sector?

There are 130 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 54 Red, 49 Amber, 27 Watch, with 35 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.0% — MAT's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does MAT's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-04) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.