Red List

MATMattel, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · mid-cap ($4.5B)
-33.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $22.48 set 2026-02-10 · 107d ago
Current
$14.89
Decline depth
-33.8%
Decline σ
3.5σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$MAT landed on the list 2026-03-11, down 28.3% from its 52-week high that day — now down -33.8%.

That's 9.5 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-11 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

MAT qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-33.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $22.48, 107d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
3.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.44% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about MAT.

MAT qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -33.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-02-10. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $13.95 11.0% of range 52W high $22.48

Sector context · Consumer Cyclical

132 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.

49 Red List
41 Amber
42 Watch
-34.1% Median decline

Worst in sector: FLUT (-69.5%). Least-bad: ZUMZ (-20.1%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →

Questions about MAT

What people ask.

Why is MAT on Broken Stocks?

MAT qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -33.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $22.48, set on 2026-02-10 — 107d ago.

Is MAT a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. MAT is down -33.8% from its 52-week high of $22.48, set 107d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is MAT a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is MAT trading inside its 52-week range?

At $14.89, MAT sits 11.0% of the way from its 52-week low ($13.95) to its 52-week high ($22.48). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has MAT been declining?

The current 33.8% decline accrued over 107d, which annualizes to roughly -115.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does MAT compare to its sector?

There are 132 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 49 Red, 41 Amber, 42 Watch, with 84 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.1% — MAT's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does MAT's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-10) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.