Red List

MECMayville Engineering Company, I

Industrials · Metal Fabrication · small-cap ($350M)
-41.6%
from rolling 252-day high of $38.76 set 2026-06-30 · 51d ago
Current
$22.65
Decline depth
-41.6%
Decline σ
7.6σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$MEC landed on the list 2026-03-14, down 21.5% from its 52-week high that day — now down -41.6%.

It has clawed back 18.7 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 25.6% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-16 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

MEC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-41.6%
From rolling 252-day high of $38.76, 51d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
7.6σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.85% per day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about MEC.

MEC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -41.6% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 7.6σ over 20 bars.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 3 (red), monthly 2D (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-03-03. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

Questions about MEC

What people ask.

Why is MEC on Broken Stocks?

MEC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -41.6% from its rolling 252-day high of $38.76, set on 2026-06-30 — 51d ago.

Is MEC a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. MEC is down -41.6% from its 52-week high of $38.76, set 51d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is MEC a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is MEC trading inside its 52-week range?

At $22.65, MEC sits 100.0% of the way from its 52-week low ($11.72) to its 52-week high ($22.36). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has MEC been declining?

The current 41.6% decline accrued over 51d, which annualizes to roughly -297.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does MEC compare to its sector?

There are 151 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 66 Red, 42 Amber, 43 Watch, with 29 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -30.8% — MEC's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does MEC's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-03-03) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.