WatchRecovering

MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · mid-cap ($4.9B)
-20.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $32.57 set 2026-03-30 · 102d ago
Current
$25.79
Decline depth
-20.8%
Decline σ
5.3σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$MGY landed on the list 2026-06-29, down 21.5% from its 52-week high that day — now down -20.8%.

Roughly where it joined — no recovery, no further break.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-06-29 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

MGY qualifies for the Watch on decline depth.

Decline depth
-20.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $32.57, 102d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
5.3σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.82% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about MGY.

MGY qualifies for the Watch on decline depth — down -20.8% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 5.3σ over 20 bars.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether MGY's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (green), monthly 2D (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-06. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $21.07 40.4% of range 52W high $32.76

Sector context · Energy

52 other Energy tickers are on Broken Stocks.

13 Red List
17 Amber
22 Watch
-27.2% Median decline

Worst in sector: GEOS (-75.0%). Least-bad: REPX (-20.2%). See all Energy listings →

Questions about MGY

What people ask.

Why is MGY on Broken Stocks?

MGY qualifies for the Watch on decline depth. It is down -20.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $32.57, set on 2026-03-30 — 102d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for MGY?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — MGY is still Watch because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is MGY a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. MGY is down -20.8% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is MGY a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is MGY trading inside its 52-week range?

At $25.79, MGY sits 40.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($21.07) to its 52-week high ($32.76). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has MGY been declining?

The current 20.8% decline accrued over 102d, which annualizes to roughly -74.4% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does MGY compare to its sector?

There are 52 other Energy tickers on Broken Stocks: 13 Red, 17 Amber, 22 Watch, with 21 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -27.2% — MGY's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does MGY's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-06) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.