Red List

MRCYMercury Systems Inc

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · mid-cap ($5.0B)
-37.4%
from rolling 252-day high of $128.45 set 2026-07-06 · 66d ago
Current
$80.43
Decline depth
-37.4%
Decline σ
10.8σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$MRCY landed on the list 2026-03-14, down 22.3% from its 52-week high that day — now down -37.4%.

Roughly where it joined — no recovery, no further break. It bottomed 32.7% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-16 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

MRCY qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-37.4%
From rolling 252-day high of $128.45, 66d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
10.8σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (2.87%/day). Past the ≥8σ Red List threshold — an extreme move.

The structural read

What price action says about MRCY.

MRCY qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -37.4% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 10.8σ over 20 bars.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2D (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-05. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.

Questions about MRCY

What people ask.

Why is MRCY on Broken Stocks?

MRCY qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -37.4% from its rolling 252-day high of $128.45, set on 2026-07-06 — 66d ago.

Is MRCY a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. MRCY is down -37.4% from its 52-week high of $128.45, set 66d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is MRCY a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is MRCY trading inside its 52-week range?

At $80.43, MRCY sits 60.9% of the way from its 52-week low ($44.01) to its 52-week high ($103.84). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has MRCY been declining?

The current 37.4% decline accrued over 66d, which annualizes to roughly -206.8% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does MRCY compare to its sector?

There are 393 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 229 Red, 84 Amber, 80 Watch, with 34 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.8% — MRCY's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does MRCY's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-05) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.