Decline depth
-32.9%
From rolling 252-day high of $128.45, 74d ago.
Past the 30% Amber threshold.
-32.9%
from rolling 252-day high of $128.45 set 2026-07-06 · 74d ago
Current
$85.28
Decline depth
-32.9%
Decline σ
4.5σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Where it stands
On the Red List.
Down 32.9% from its rolling 252-day high, 74 days after the high.
Snapshot . Price structure, not a judgment about the business.
A bullish structural signal is also active. The Recovering badge coexists with the decline tier; it does not establish a completed recovery.
What changed
Since the previous observation.
Red List → Red List; recovery signal active.
Comparing with . This compares classification, not price returns.
See the recorded timeline →Why it is flagged
MRCY qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Down 32.9% from its rolling 252-day high, 74 days after the high. The most severe triggered rule determines the tier.
Inspect the three classification measures
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
4.5σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (2.68%/day).
Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.
Price history
The price path behind the snapshot.
Daily prices with the rolling-high reference. When a recorded classification event falls on a displayed trading date, it is marked on the chart.
Rolling 252-day high
Gold dots: recorded classification events (see timeline)
Up day
Down day
90 daily bars from Alpaca · through
The recorded history
A timeline of observations.
First observed 2026-07-20. These are scan observations, not exact transition times or the start of a decline. Missing scan dates are not filled in.
- Red List → Red List; recovery signal active
- Red List; recovery signal active → Red List
- Red List → Red List; recovery signal active
- Watch → Red List
- Red List → Watch
- Watch → Red List
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch
- Watch → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
- Amber List → Watch
- Watch → Amber List
- Watch; recovery signal active → Watch
- Watch → Watch; recovery signal active
Showing the latest 12 of 13 recorded events.
Absence from a captured list does not establish recovery. Historical tiers reflect the rules and data recorded at that time.
Technical interpretation and signal details
The structural read
What price action says about MRCY.
MRCY qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -32.9% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause in the classification rules. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 4.5σ over 20 bars.
A confirmed bullish signal on one or more time frames earned the Recovering badge. The tier reflects the most severe price-structure rule; Recovering identifies a separate bullish signal. Not a buy signal.
Whether MRCY's turn is investable is ConvictionEdge's question, not ours.
Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase weekly. Last bar types — daily 2U (red), weekly 3 (green), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-05-05. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.
Questions about MRCY
What people ask.
Why is MRCY on Broken Stocks?
MRCY qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -32.9% from its rolling 252-day high of $128.45, set on 2026-07-06 — 74d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for MRCY?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — MRCY is still Red List because a price-structure rule still triggers, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier reflects the most severe triggered rule; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is MRCY a falling knife?
By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. MRCY is down -32.9% from its 52-week high of $128.45, set 74d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — the classification does not predict subsequent returns. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.
Is MRCY a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is MRCY trading inside its 52-week range?
At $85.28, MRCY sits 69.0% of the way from its 52-week low ($44.01) to its 52-week high ($103.84). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has MRCY been declining?
The current 32.9% decline accrued over 74d, which annualizes to roughly -162.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does MRCY compare to its sector?
There are 524 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 294 Red, 119 Amber, 111 Watch, with 251 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.6% — MRCY's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does MRCY's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering uses decline depth and recency, bearish time-frame structure, and decline sigma. The earnings date on file (2026-05-05) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.