Decline depth
-22.5%
From rolling 252-day high of $551.05, 301d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Amber ListRecovering
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · mega-cap ($2.8T)
-22.5%
from rolling 252-day high of $551.05 set 2025-07-31 · 301d ago
Current
$426.99
Decline depth
-22.5%
Decline σ
2.8σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$MSFT landed on the list 2026-03-02, down 28.2% from its 52-week high that day — now down -22.5%.
Roughly where it joined — no recovery, no further break. It bottomed 35.8% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
MSFT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
2.8σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.66% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about MSFT.
MSFT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -22.5% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether MSFT's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.
Upstream TFC read: strong alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2D (green), monthly 1 (green).
Earnings on file: 2026-01-28. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
52-week range
52W low $344.79
39.0% of range
52W high $555.45
Sector context · Technology
179 other Technology tickers are on Broken Stocks.
114
Red List
44
Amber
21
Watch
-42.2%
Median decline
Worst in sector: DUOL (-79.9%). Least-bad: SONO (-20.0%). See all Technology listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to MSFT
WatchRecovering
PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Red List
GEN
Gen Digital Inc.
Watch
WEX
WEX Inc.
WatchRecovering
EVCM
EverCommerce Inc.
WatchRecovering
ACIW
ACI Worldwide, Inc.
WatchRecovering
SSYS
Stratasys, Ltd.
Questions about MSFT
What people ask.
Why is MSFT on Broken Stocks?
MSFT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -22.5% from its rolling 252-day high of $551.05, set on 2025-07-31 — 301d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for MSFT?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — MSFT is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is MSFT a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. MSFT is down -22.5% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is MSFT a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is MSFT trading inside its 52-week range?
At $426.99, MSFT sits 39.0% of the way from its 52-week low ($344.79) to its 52-week high ($555.45). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has MSFT been declining?
The current 22.5% decline accrued over 301d, which annualizes to roughly -27.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does MSFT compare to its sector?
There are 179 other Technology tickers on Broken Stocks: 114 Red, 44 Amber, 21 Watch, with 114 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -42.2% — MSFT's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does MSFT's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-01-28) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.