Red ListRecovering

OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · mid-cap ($4.8B)
-41.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $141.74 set 2025-08-06 · 295d ago
Current
$82.54
Decline depth
-41.8%
Decline σ
2.5σ
TFC
5/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$OLLI has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 28.4% from its 52-week high then — now down -41.8%.

That's 20.9 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

OLLI qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-41.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $141.74, 295d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
5/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Full bearish continuity — every time frame is broken.
Decline sigma
2.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.19% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about OLLI.

OLLI qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -41.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 5/5 bearish time frames.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether OLLI's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2U (green), monthly 2D (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-06-03. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $73.31 13.5% of range 52W high $141.74

Sector context · Consumer Defensive

54 other Consumer Defensive tickers are on Broken Stocks.

33 Red List
13 Amber
8 Watch
-34.4% Median decline

Worst in sector: SMPL (-66.4%). Least-bad: COKE (-20.5%). See all Consumer Defensive listings →

Questions about OLLI

What people ask.

Why is OLLI on Broken Stocks?

OLLI qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -41.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $141.74, set on 2025-08-06 — 295d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for OLLI?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — OLLI is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is OLLI a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. OLLI is down -41.8% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 295d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. OLLI is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is OLLI a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is OLLI trading inside its 52-week range?

At $82.54, OLLI sits 13.5% of the way from its 52-week low ($73.31) to its 52-week high ($141.74). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has OLLI been declining?

The current 41.8% decline accrued over 295d, which annualizes to roughly -51.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does OLLI compare to its sector?

There are 54 other Consumer Defensive tickers on Broken Stocks: 33 Red, 13 Amber, 8 Watch, with 28 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.4% — OLLI's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does OLLI's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-06-03) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.