Amber List

RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services · large-cap ($77.2B)
-20.2%
from rolling 252-day high of $360.34 set 2025-08-29 · 356d ago
Current
$287.62
Decline depth
-20.2%
Decline σ
6.3σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$RCL landed on the list 2026-03-04, down 21.6% from its 52-week high that day — now down -20.2%.

It has clawed back 1.3 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 32.6% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-04 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

RCL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-20.2%
From rolling 252-day high of $360.34, 356d ago. Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
6.3σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.38% per day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about RCL.

RCL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -20.2% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.3σ over 20 bars.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-04-30. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

Questions about RCL

What people ask.

Why is RCL on Broken Stocks?

RCL qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -20.2% from its rolling 252-day high of $360.34, set on 2025-08-29 — 356d ago.

Is RCL a falling knife?

No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. RCL is down -20.2% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.

Is RCL a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is RCL trading inside its 52-week range?

At $287.62, RCL sits 41.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($232.10) to its 52-week high ($366.50). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has RCL been declining?

The current 20.2% decline accrued over 356d, which annualizes to roughly -20.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does RCL compare to its sector?

There are 130 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 54 Red, 49 Amber, 27 Watch, with 35 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.2% — RCL's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does RCL's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-04-30) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.