Decline depth
-45.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $22.69, 298d ago.
Past the 40% Red List threshold.
-45.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $22.69 set 2025-12-22 · 298d ago
Current
$12.42
Decline depth
-45.3%
Decline σ
10.1σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Where it stands
On the Red List.
Down 45.3% from its rolling 252-day high, 298 days after the high.
Snapshot . Price structure, not a judgment about the business.
What changed
Since the previous observation.
Tier and recovery signal are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing with . This compares classification, not price returns.
See the recorded timeline →Why it is flagged
RIVN qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Down 45.3% from its rolling 252-day high, 298 days after the high. The most severe triggered rule determines the tier.
Inspect the three classification measures
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
10.1σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (2.1%/day).
Past the ≥8σ Red List threshold — an extreme move.
Price history
The price path behind the snapshot.
Daily prices with the rolling-high reference. When a recorded classification event falls on a displayed trading date, it is marked on the chart.
Rolling 252-day high
Gold dots: recorded classification events (see timeline)
Up day
Down day
90 daily bars from Alpaca · through
The recorded history
A timeline of observations.
First observed 2026-05-15. These are scan observations, not exact transition times or the start of a decline. Missing scan dates are not filled in.
- Amber List; recovery signal active → Red List
- Watch → Amber List; recovery signal active
- Amber List → Watch
- Amber List; recovery signal active → Amber List
- Watch; recovery signal active → Amber List; recovery signal active
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch; recovery signal active
- Watch → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch
- Watch → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch
- Watch → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch
Showing the latest 12 of 20 recorded events.
Absence from a captured list does not establish recovery. Historical tiers reflect the rules and data recorded at that time.
Around the worst days
What the news said when RIVN fell hardest.
News published within a day of its largest one-day drops points to a share sale or financing.
- -18.1%
- -9.8%
- -9.6%
A language model's reading of 22 headlines, taken . It classifies the news on those days; it does not explain the whole decline and is not a tier input. How this is produced.
Technical interpretation and signal details
The structural read
What price action says about RIVN.
RIVN qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -45.3% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 10.1σ over 20 bars.
Earnings on file: 2026-07-30. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.
Questions about RIVN
What people ask.
Why is RIVN on Broken Stocks?
RIVN qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -45.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $22.69, set on 2025-12-22 — 298d ago.
Is RIVN a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. RIVN is down -45.3% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 298d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. RIVN is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is RIVN a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is RIVN trading inside its 52-week range?
At $12.42, RIVN sits 0.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($12.39) to its 52-week high ($22.69). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has RIVN been declining?
The current 45.3% decline accrued over 298d, which annualizes to roughly -55.5% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does RIVN compare to its sector?
There are 411 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 289 Red, 86 Amber, 36 Watch, with 243 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.4% — RIVN's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does RIVN's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering uses decline depth and recency, bearish time-frame structure, and decline sigma. The earnings date on file (2026-07-30) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.