Red List Recovering
RLI
RLI Corp.
9.7σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.99%)
Current
$49.88
Decline depth
Decline σ
9.7σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

RLI qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma.

Decline depth
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
9.7σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.99% per day). Past the ≥8σ Red List threshold — an extreme move.

The structural read

What price action says about RLI.

RLI qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 9.7σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2D (green), monthly 2D (red).

52-week range

52W low $47.26 16.1% of range 52W high $63.50

Questions about RLI

What people ask.

Why is RLI on Broken Stocks?

RLI qualifies for the Red List on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 9.7σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.99%). It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for RLI?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — RLI is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is RLI a falling knife?

RLI is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.

Is RLI a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is RLI trading inside its 52-week range?

At $49.88, RLI sits 16.1% of the way from its 52-week low ($47.26) to its 52-week high ($63.50). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.