Decline depth
—
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Watch
SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
5.1σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.79%)
Current
$56.74
Decline depth
—
Decline σ
5.1σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$SKWD has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 25.3% from its 52-week high then — now $56.74.
It has clawed back 12.5 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 36.6% below that high along the way.
From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
SKWD qualifies for the Watch on decline sigma.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
5.1σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.79%/day).
Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about SKWD.
SKWD qualifies for the Watch on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 5.1σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.
Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (red), weekly 2D (green), monthly 1 (red).
Questions about SKWD
What people ask.
Why is SKWD on Broken Stocks?
SKWD qualifies for the Watch on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 5.1σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.79%).
Is SKWD a falling knife?
SKWD is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.
Is SKWD a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is SKWD trading inside its 52-week range?
At $56.74, SKWD sits 45.7% of the way from its 52-week low ($49.22) to its 52-week high ($65.69). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.