Amber ListRecovering

SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.

Technology · Computer Hardware · large-cap ($13.7B)
-33.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $62.36 set 2025-07-31 · 301d ago
Current
$41.30
Decline depth
-33.8%
Decline σ
2.0σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$SMCI has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 49.0% from its 52-week high then — now down -33.8%.

That's 1.9 percentage points deeper than the day it joined. It bottomed 67.1% below that high along the way.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

SMCI qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-33.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $62.36, 301d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
2.0σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (6.7% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about SMCI.

SMCI qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -33.8% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Broken Stocks stops here — it flags the structure, it doesn't build the upside case. Working out whether SMCI's turn is investable is what our sister tool does: ConvictionEdge — triple-engine conviction research on names showing a recovery signal.

Upstream TFC read: strong alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2U (green), monthly 2U (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-02-03. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $19.48 50.9% of range 52W high $62.36

Sector context · Technology

179 other Technology tickers are on Broken Stocks.

114 Red List
44 Amber
21 Watch
-42.2% Median decline

Worst in sector: DUOL (-79.9%). Least-bad: SONO (-20.0%). See all Technology listings →

Questions about SMCI

What people ask.

Why is SMCI on Broken Stocks?

SMCI qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -33.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $62.36, set on 2025-07-31 — 301d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for SMCI?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — SMCI is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is SMCI a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. SMCI is down -33.8% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 301d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. SMCI is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is SMCI a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is SMCI trading inside its 52-week range?

At $41.30, SMCI sits 50.9% of the way from its 52-week low ($19.48) to its 52-week high ($62.36). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has SMCI been declining?

The current 33.8% decline accrued over 301d, which annualizes to roughly -41.0% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does SMCI compare to its sector?

There are 179 other Technology tickers on Broken Stocks: 114 Red, 44 Amber, 21 Watch, with 114 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -42.2% — SMCI's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does SMCI's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-03) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.