Decline depth
-37.9%
From rolling 252-day high of $58.78, 315d ago.
Past the 30% Amber threshold.
-37.9%
from rolling 252-day high of $58.78 set 2025-10-09 · 315d ago
Current
$36.50
Decline depth
-37.9%
Decline σ
2.5σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since tracking began
$SMCI has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 49.0% from its 52-week high then — now down -37.9%.
It has clawed back 8.7 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 67.1% below that high along the way.
Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
SMCI qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
2.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (6.34% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about SMCI.
SMCI qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -37.9% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.
Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 3 (red), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2U (green).
Earnings on file: 2026-08-11. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
Questions about SMCI
What people ask.
Why is SMCI on Broken Stocks?
SMCI qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -37.9% from its rolling 252-day high of $58.78, set on 2025-10-09 — 315d ago.
Is SMCI a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. SMCI is down -37.9% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 315d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. SMCI is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is SMCI a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is SMCI trading inside its 52-week range?
At $36.50, SMCI sits 39.7% of the way from its 52-week low ($19.48) to its 52-week high ($62.36). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has SMCI been declining?
The current 37.9% decline accrued over 315d, which annualizes to roughly -43.9% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does SMCI compare to its sector?
There are 239 other Technology tickers on Broken Stocks: 148 Red, 49 Amber, 42 Watch, with 65 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.7% — SMCI's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does SMCI's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-11) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.