Decline depth
-23.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $138.77, 72d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
-23.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $138.77 set 2026-06-30 · 72d ago
Current
$106.49
Decline depth
-23.3%
Decline σ
8.5σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Since it joined the list
$UAL landed on the list 2026-03-08, down 20.7% from its 52-week high that day — now down -23.3%.
It has clawed back 12.8 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 28.5% below that high along the way.
From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-09 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.
Structural break signals
UAL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
8.5σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (2.19%/day).
Past the ≥8σ Red List threshold — an extreme move.
The structural read
What price action says about UAL.
UAL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -23.3% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 8.5σ over 20 bars.
Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2D (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-07-15. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.
Questions about UAL
What people ask.
Why is UAL on Broken Stocks?
UAL qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -23.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $138.77, set on 2026-06-30 — 72d ago.
Is UAL a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. UAL is down -23.3% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is UAL a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is UAL trading inside its 52-week range?
At $106.49, UAL sits 40.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($84.64) to its 52-week high ($138.77). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has UAL been declining?
The current 23.3% decline accrued over 72d, which annualizes to roughly -118.1% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does UAL compare to its sector?
There are 393 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 229 Red, 84 Amber, 80 Watch, with 34 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.1% — UAL's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does UAL's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-15) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.