Red List

ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.

Industrials · Airlines · small-cap ($1.5B)
-34.2%
from rolling 252-day high of $8.40 set 2026-06-25 · 77d ago
Current
$5.53
Decline depth
-34.2%
Decline σ
8.2σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since it joined the list

$ULCC landed on the list 2026-05-09, down 24.5% from its 52-week high that day — now down -34.2%.

It has clawed back 7.5 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 36.2% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-05-11 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

ULCC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-34.2%
From rolling 252-day high of $8.40, 77d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3.
Decline sigma
8.2σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (2.74%/day). Past the ≥8σ Red List threshold — an extreme move.

The structural read

What price action says about ULCC.

ULCC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -34.2% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 8.2σ over 20 bars.

Earnings on file: 2026-07-29. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.

Questions about ULCC

What people ask.

Why is ULCC on Broken Stocks?

ULCC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -34.2% from its rolling 252-day high of $8.40, set on 2026-06-25 — 77d ago.

Is ULCC a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. ULCC is down -34.2% from its 52-week high of $8.40, set 77d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is ULCC a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is ULCC trading inside its 52-week range?

At $5.53, ULCC sits 46.6% of the way from its 52-week low ($3.02) to its 52-week high ($8.40). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has ULCC been declining?

The current 34.2% decline accrued over 77d, which annualizes to roughly -162.1% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does ULCC compare to its sector?

There are 393 other Industrials tickers on Broken Stocks: 229 Red, 84 Amber, 80 Watch, with 34 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.1% — ULCC's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does ULCC's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-07-29) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.