Amber List

ESRTEMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST, INC.

7.7σ
decline sigma — volatility-normalized move (typical daily 1.84%)
Current
$4.28
Decline depth
Decline σ
7.7σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$ESRT has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 38.2% from its 52-week high then — now $4.28.

That's 15.7 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

ESRT qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma.

Decline depth
Not currently in the rolling-252-day ≥20% decline universe.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
7.7σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.84%/day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about ESRT.

ESRT qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma — the recent drop measures 7.7σ over a 20-bar window. Sigma scales the move by the stock's own typical daily volatility, so a small percentage drop in a normally-quiet name can land here when the bigger players miss it on a pure-percent threshold.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Questions about ESRT

What people ask.

Why is ESRT on Broken Stocks?

ESRT qualifies for the Amber List on decline sigma. The recent drop measures 7.7σ over a 20-bar window — large enough that even a small percentage drop is structurally significant given the stock's typical day-to-day volatility (1.84%).

Is ESRT a falling knife?

ESRT is on Broken Stocks for time-frame continuity or decline-sigma reasons rather than headline depth, so the falling-knife label doesn't cleanly apply. The phrase usually requires a meaningful percentage drop from a fresh high. See the structural break signals above for the axis that actually triggered the listing.

Is ESRT a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is ESRT trading inside its 52-week range?

At $4.28, ESRT sits 8.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($4.13) to its 52-week high ($5.93). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.