Decline depth
-48.2%
From rolling 252-day high of $96.07, 183d ago.
Past the 40% Red List threshold.
-48.2%
from rolling 252-day high of $96.07 set 2025-11-12 · 183d ago
Current
$49.78
Decline depth
-48.2%
Decline σ
3.5σ
TFC
5/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Structural break signals
ESTC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
5/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Full bearish continuity — every time frame is broken.
Decline sigma
3.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.07% per day).
The structural read
What price action says about ESTC.
ESTC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -48.2% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 5/5 bearish time frames.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 3 (green), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (green).
Earnings on file: 2026-02-26. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
52-week range
52W low $42.05
14.3% of range
52W high $96.07
Sector context · Technology
172 other Technology tickers are on Broken Stocks.
118
Red List
36
Amber
18
Watch
-44.1%
Median decline
Worst in sector: PAR (-79.8%). Least-bad: IMMR (-20.8%). See all Technology listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to ESTC
Red List
FIS
Fidelity National Information S
Red List
PCTY
Paylocity Holding Corporation
Red List Recovering
CSIQ
Canadian Solar Inc.
Red List Recovering
CHKP
Check Point Software Technologi
Red List
FRSH
Freshworks Inc.
Red List
MANH
Manhattan Associates, Inc.
Questions about ESTC
What people ask.
Why is ESTC on Broken Stocks?
ESTC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -48.2% from its rolling 252-day high of $96.07, set on 2025-11-12 — 183d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for ESTC?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — ESTC is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is ESTC a falling knife?
Not by the strict technical definition. ESTC is down -48.2% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 183d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. ESTC is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.
Is ESTC a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is ESTC trading inside its 52-week range?
At $49.78, ESTC sits 14.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($42.05) to its 52-week high ($96.07). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has ESTC been declining?
The current 48.2% decline accrued over 183d, which annualizes to roughly -96.1% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does ESTC compare to its sector?
There are 172 other Technology tickers on Broken Stocks: 118 Red, 36 Amber, 18 Watch, with 45 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -44.1% — ESTC's decline is deeper than the sector median.
Does ESTC's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-26) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.